Network self-exciting point processes to measure health impacts of COVID-19
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract The assessment of the health impacts COVID-19 pandemic requires consideration mobility networks. To this aim, we propose to augment spatio-temporal point process models with network covariates. We show how resulting model can be employed predict contagion patterns and help in important decisions such as distribution vaccines. application proposed methodology 27 European countries shows that human mobility, along vaccine doses government policies, are significant predictors number new reported infections therefore key variables for decision-making.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['0035-9238', '2397-2327']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssa/qnac006