Network self-exciting point processes to measure health impacts of COVID-19

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract The assessment of the health impacts COVID-19 pandemic requires consideration mobility networks. To this aim, we propose to augment spatio-temporal point process models with network covariates. We show how resulting model can be employed predict contagion patterns and help in important decisions such as distribution vaccines. application proposed methodology 27 European countries shows that human mobility, along vaccine doses government policies, are significant predictors number new reported infections therefore key variables for decision-making.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Spectra of some self - exciting and mutually exciting point processes

In recent years methods of data analysis for point processes have received some attention, for example, by Cox & Lewis (1966) and Lewis (1964). In particular Bartlett (1963a, b) has introduced methods of analysis based on the point spectrum. Theoretical models are relatively sparse. In this paper the theoretical properties of a class of processes with particular reference to the point spectrum ...

متن کامل

Self - Exciting Point Process Modeling of Crime

Highly clustered event sequences are observed in certain types of crime data, such as burglary and gang violence, due to crime-specific patterns of criminal behavior. Similar clustering patterns are observed by seismologists, as earthquakes are well known to increase the risk of subsequent earthquakes, or aftershocks, near the location of an initial event. Space–time clustering is modeled in se...

متن کامل

Self-Exciting Point Process Modeling of Crime

Highly clustered event sequences are observed in certain types of crime data, such as burglary and gang violence, due to crime-specific patterns of criminal behavior. Similar clustering patterns are observed by seismologists, as earthquakes are well known to increase the risk of subsequent earthquakes, or aftershocks, near the location of an initial event. Space–time clustering is modeled in se...

متن کامل

Psychological Impacts of Covid-19 Outbreak on Mental Health Status of Society Individuals: A Narrative Review

From the end of December 2019, outbreak of a novel viral disease was reported in Wuhan city of China, which was caused by a novel coronavirus and was officially named as COVID-19 by World Health Organization (WHO). The outbreak of COVID-19 was unique in its rapidity of transmission, which has become a global health emergency within just a few months in all countries worldwide. This disease will...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['0035-9238', '2397-2327']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssa/qnac006